Economic Recession 2008: Scoble’s Advice The Only Way To Go?Robin Good's Latest News
I love Robert Scoble mostly considering he is a very positive, optimistic and friendly person, and one that has enlarged chosen to openly share his insight, discoveries and best lessons learned. That makes him a valuable new media exploration pal, and I am only in debt for the little conversation and exchange I brought back to his very, very generous contributions.
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Robert Scoble - Photo credit: SiliconValleyWatcher
But that , having read Robert Scoble post on how to save yourself from the upcoming 2008 recession, made really stand out again some of the
deep differences that mark our otherwise apparently similar paths.
In the past I thought of these differences amidst me and Robert just as marginal elements, and even self-discounted them as non-relevant differentiation points within independent online publishers coming from different cultures and experiences. But as I re-read Robert’s points I am getting finally convinced that the differences are there, and they are not so marginal.
Why is it that tech-focused and "Silicon Valley" bloggers, who have audience, attention, and often notable intellectual skills perpetrate the negative shortcomings of the reality, culture and media they live in, showing none of the "outsider" and questioning perspective that all serious explorers should lovingly maintain?
I don't know, yet, but here, in what wants to be a friendly but provocative counterpoint, is how my spontaneous point-by-point feedback to Scoble' recession prescription:
CounterPoint to: Surviving the 2008 Recession
by Robert Scoble and Robin Good (me)
It isn’t here for sure, but, damn, when you pay $50 for two coffees and a tart in Paris you know your economy isn’t healthy. Add in the latest energy prices and you see we’re nearly definitely going to have a problem by the next year with inflation (compounded since many of our goods come from overseas and our dollar is buying less and less — dramatically less we found on our latest trip to Europe).
whether recession and/or inflation is coming, now is the date to prepare. How?
Robert Scoble: 1. Get some income from overseas. The dollar is weak, but that means that non-US humans are going to want to pay for your work rather than hiring their countrymen for a higher rate. So, take advantage of it. Don’t think that is true? Visit a national park that summer in the US and notice that there’s a lot more Europeans visiting than last year. Why? Their Euros buy a lot more of our stuff than they buy back home. Tons of geeks on our trip told us they are begging their bosses to go to US so they can come shopping.
me (Robin Good): Go for it!
2. Cut expenses.
me: yeah, what have you been waiting for!
3. Lock down clients into longer-term contracts. Even give them some concessions to get them to renew their contracts, or extend them.
me: Treat customers as partners. Don’t force them into contracts that may regret having extended later on. Build your profit making relationships on trust wherever possible. Get gradually out of relationships that force you to accept or impose such compromises. Create your own business or work with others to create one in which you believe in.
4. Ensure you’re seen as valuable at work. Do an honest assessment. Are you really in the top 10% of all workers at your company? That’s where you want to be to avoid the layoffs.
me: whether they can’t see how valuable your work is, perhaps you are not in the right place. whether someone needs to remind you to manufacture your work valuable abundant for the company you are working for, perhaps there is really something deeply wrong in working for that company after all. You should find a work that places you in the position to be valued for what you are without needing to out of your way to manufacture yourself meaningful within your work reality.
5. Network more than usual. You might get laid off and you’ll want to network as much as possible so that you’ll have a friendly network to help you find new work.
me: Finding work is the old mantra. That means working for someone else who likely has different end goals than yours. Creating work is the new frontier. In that new, idealistic view, you choose and design your worn work and while finding ways to form economically sustainable.
6. Watch the job listings. They are leading indicators of the health of the economy, plus you might see a job that will help you survive (I got my job at NEC during the depth of the last downturn by watching Craig’s List).
me: Not my recommendation. Start thinking about doing what you really like is my mantra. Running forever in search of a job that pays you suitable to do what you would really want to do in your life is a losign dream. Wake up. Better live while loving what you do with little money, than having lots of money but hating the job that brings it to you.
7. Dust off your blog. Especially whether you get laid off. Try to own a niche. You might get noticed and you might get a new job considering humans are seeing you excited about something.
me: Yeah Robert. Now you are singing. Blog is good. Niche is good. You writing excitedly about something is really the ONE KEY.
8. Start a company. During the last downturn I saw quite a few humans start companies and they got richer as the economy got better. Same thing happened in the early 1990s when Fawcette Technical Publications got started.
me: Right on 100%. But not with the money of others!
9. Move to a bigger company (or whether you are there already, think twice about leaving). Big companies can survive the downturns. IBM ain’t going anywhere. Either is Microsoft, Google, Apple. Even Yahoo, which has seen its troubles lately, isn’t going away, although it might shed lots of employees (if you’re going to work at a big company compose certain you read #4 again — really valuable employees rarely get cut and whether they do their reputations help them bounce back on their feet).
me: Forget it. Move to a smaller company. Start your own.
10. whether you are in a big company, join a group that isn’t going to get cut. Scott Guthrie’s group inside Microsoft, for instance, is a lot safer than lots of other groups.
me: As whether that was something society could choose about. Forget company internal politics and save-your-ass-before-it’s-too-late strategies. Get on sustainable grounds now. Use your head. Stop having to depend on a giant that has nothing to do with your own life interests.
11. whether you’re in a small company, get real friendly with two groups of people: First, the salespeople. whether they start leaving you know the business isn’t seeing good revenues. Second, the CFO or financial public. Better yet, try to get your fingers on the books and understand them. At Userland, during the last downturn, I practiced that and ran the books and paid the bills. We still ran out of cash, but I knew about it three months ahead of instance so I was able to mentally prepare for the
me: Not my way of working but very respectful when there is something that I haven’t done and may learn from it. Snooping the financial books of a company to get to know when things are going to turn poor doesn’t seem to me the best way to BE inside a company and to contribute to its sustained health. whether you are in a company where you can’t ask or talk about these things in a relaxed way without snooping in the admin books I think you are in an unsafe place. So, rather than sustaining that self-defeating way of doing business start considering talking and bringing such issues on the table… or to start a smaller company that does.
12. Look at your stock portfolio and invent smart moves. I know lots of you don’t look too closely at what you’re invested in. Lots of humans really got hurt last duration there was a downturn in the stock market. Are you diversified? Do you have more than a small percent of your portfolio in any one company? Have you sat down with a financial planner lately and talked through your portfolio?
me: I can’t compete with Robert on that but when someone suggests to assemble smart moves I can’t but agree. I am not into the stock market, and though I am quite curious about it, there is something about running companies only as money-making machines that just doesn’t sit well with me. I do prefer a society where companies are small and where what they do is not driven exclusively by money margins and future profit opportunities. In my life there are other values I want to give priority too and promote to others. By betting on companies that work against my own ideals I am contributing little to what I would consider real socio-economic change and negating myself an opportunity to get forever out of the financial dependency loop. I am probably too idealistic, but, that is where I am at.
13. Try to get into hot new markets. Russia, for instance, is flush with cash considering of the high oil prices. Are you expanding operations there? Can you?
me: No comment.
14. ComputerWeekly is recommending CIOs get two budgets together and look for redundancies that companies can cut.
me: OK.
15. Work the basics: build a cash reserve; manage stock; renegotiate your lease; reward loyal customers; build value — these are all suggestions by Scott Barancik that I found on a Google Search for preparing for recession.
me: Try these ones instead: start investing all you have in your future and your kids, learn, educate yourself to the limit, travel. Don’t save a penny. Start small and build your “shrine” brick by brick. Don’t get leases, mortgages or money that you will have to return to someone with interest. that financial system is sickening and will form your coffees and tarts cost $75 by next summer. Come back to check it out. Google is as good as the questions you pose it. Try for a change a query that targets what makes you happy not one that saves your bank history.
16. See where you stand in the story line. That advice comes as part of a “Prepare for Recession: Just in Case” post by Bill Conerly who does the Businomics Blog. He has lots of other good advice by on a post about what families can do to prepare.
me: Prepare yourself to know how the economy works and why you have all of the means to change it again. Learn about the Federal Reserve and how it works, the taxing system and alternative currencies and economic systems you could help get more visibility and attention instead of surrendering by default to the lies big media keeps telling you about the causes of all that. Wake up and do somethign about it is my suggestion.
17. Write a blog about how to brilliantly sail through a recession. That way when humans start to feel its effects they’ll find your post and your increased traffic will potentially construct you some advertising money or at least some new friends who valued your advice. Heheh.
me: Hats for suggesting ways to compose money in all possible ways, but when you start basing your money-making strategy on other society disadvantages or missed opportunities while capitalizing on their misfortunes I don’t get such a great motivational kick. That places additionally humans in the position of thinking that economic recessions are like cosmic events out of their own control and influence. It is precisely in the direction of helping others see through the system and making sense of its shortcomings that we can avoid future recessions and supply us AND others with the means to a more sustainable future.
18. Clean up your balance sheet. That’s what the Wastrel Show recommends.
me: I think that is a good recommendation. Nothing to argue with that.
19. Keep your ear to the ground, Money Central recommends.
me: Yeah. Trash your TV, find your dependable news sources, ask lots of questions, meet new folks, don’t take for granted everything being sold to you as the next big scare, ask more questions, create instance for yourself, think, study, research, play, ask more questions. I fully agree.
How about you? Do you have any good suggestions? Are you preparing for economic troubles ahead? Why/ why not?
me: I have a few and I have shared them here above. I am not preparing for an economic recession any differently than I was already doing. It is not the recession I am fearing but my friends blindness to the larger issues causing all that to happen. whether you have already watched Zeitgeist, watch it again please.
Oh, and please remember those who are hurt by that economic downturn. The stories that are starting to come out are not pretty. whether nothing else, join Jeremy Toeman in volunteering to help those who are less fortunate. I will be.
me: That’s a nice one Robert. But now, stop being a spectator living in the tech world only. Your country, the future economy not just there but here too are not things that are part of a different universe by which you have no ability or control. I ask you only one thing: don’t take my words for good… start asking some questions on all those issues you are giving for granted.
me again: Above all, I would like to thank you Robert though. whether it wasn’t for the rush of emotions I felt when reading his write-up that wee hours, I wouldn’t have stopped to write and share sincerely my own thoughts. Nonetheless diverse in his views, I do honour and respect that distant viewpoint, those deeply antagonist views, considering it is through you and them that I can see more clearly my direction while articulating my vision in a way that others can use for their own benefit as well.
Thanks. I hope that notwithstanding our significant differences, we can continue to be good friends as much as we can continue to learn from each other.
Originally written by Robin Good for Master New Media in response to Robert Scoble post “Surviving the 2008 recession.”
Original post by Robin Good
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