Predictions for 2008Global Neighbourhoods

1. In about 10 days, about 3 million bloggers will post their predictions for 2008. Heh. But I will have been first, helping to boost that post up in the Google Search Engine.

2. Facebook, having been the most rapidly adopted social media tool of all duration will crest and start to fade, hurt by (1) it’s inability to find a monetization system that is acceptable to its user base and (2) allowing spammers and pseudo groups to dampen what was once an incredible user experience.

3. Online Video will continue to expand as both an entertainent and communications tool.

4. Apple for the first instance in two decades will capture more than 10 percent of the desktop/laptop market. But it won’t come much from enterprise purchases. The long-awaited Vista Service Pack 1 will finally reach for corporate customers where it will immediately disappoint in terms of performance enhancement.

5. At least two new companies will enter the smart phone market with products targeted aggressively against the iPhone.

6. The Boston Red Sox will

defeat the Chicago Cubs in the 9th inning of the 7th game of the  World  Series with a  pinch hit grand slam home run.  They will have been down by three runs and the count will be 3-2 when the hit comes.

7. Ron Paul will not become president.  He will become a correspondent for Techcrunch and form guest appearances on Saturday Night Live.

8. Twitter will continue to ascend in popularity. However, it will find itself in the same bind as Facebook regarding monetization. Both companies will come to learn there is a huge chasm amoung what they can do for revenue and what they should do.

9.  Two major metropolitan daily newspapers will cease to exist. Best bets are the San Francisco Chronicle and the Boston Globe. The world will not be a better place.

10. I will retire as a start ups consultant after 30 years of it to become a TV star, or perhaps a rock star, but certainly not an opera star.

Orginal post by shel

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